The first major poll in a swing state following former President Trump’s guilty verdict in his trial in New York City last week revealed a solid lead for one candidate just five months before the November general election.
Georgia voters favor Trump over Biden by 49% to 44% in a head-to-head matchup, according to the Quinnipiac University Survey released Wednesday, which was taken after the former president’s highly publicized and intensely scrutinized conviction on 34 counts of falsifying business records.
Trump’s lead over Biden grew to a six-point difference (43%-37%) with the inclusion of independent presidential candidates Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (8%) and Cornel West (3%), as well as the Libertarian Party. Chase Oliver (3%) and Jill Stein of the Green Party (2%).
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Former President Trump, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and President Biden. (Getty Images)
The all-important independent vote was evenly divided between Trump and Biden with 45% each.
Fifty percent said they agreed with the guilty verdict against Trump, while 44% said they disagreed. However, a whopping 54% said the verdict will have no effect on their vote, and 23% said it will make them more likely to vote for the former president.
Only 18% of independents and 5% of Republicans said the verdict made them less likely to support Trump.
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Former President Trump attended UFC 302 at Prudential Center on June 1, 2024 in Newark, New Jersey (Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)
Regarding Trump’s election interference case in Fulton County, a 54% majority said they believed Trump did nothing illegal, but 25% believe he acted unethically. Forty-one percent said they believed Trump did something illegal.
Trump has a double-digit lead over Biden when it comes to which candidate would best handle the major issues of the election race, including immigration (56%-39%), the economy (58%-38%), the Israel dispute and Hamas. (53%-39%) and the war between Russia and Ukraine (54%-41%).
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Voters also believe Trump would be the best candidate to preserve democracy (49%-46%), but Biden had a slight lead on the abortion issue (47%-45%).
Biden’s job approval in Georgia was 36%, with 60% disapproving.
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